Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#166
Pace59.7#331
Improvement+0.9#126

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#173
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#138
Layup/Dunks-0.3#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#147
Freethrows-1.2#251
Improvement-4.4#341

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot-1.5#217
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#59
Layups/Dunks+4.0#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#294
Freethrows-1.0#241
Improvement+5.3#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four59.6% n/a n/a
First Round73.9% n/a n/a
Second Round1.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 126   @ Tulsa W 84-73 31%     1 - 0 +15.5 +17.2 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2016 130   @ Missouri St. L 65-91 32%     1 - 1 -21.7 -7.3 -14.3
  Nov 16, 2016 229   @ Western Kentucky L 67-74 54%     1 - 2 -8.7 -2.9 -6.4
  Nov 18, 2016 37   @ TCU L 60-79 9%     1 - 3 -4.8 +4.1 -12.3
  Nov 25, 2016 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 61-38 68%     2 - 3 +17.5 +2.7 +20.1
  Nov 26, 2016 323   Northern Arizona W 76-63 83%     3 - 3 +2.2 +1.7 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2016 342   @ Alabama St. W 72-69 88%     4 - 3 -10.2 -3.7 -6.4
  Dec 04, 2016 162   @ Samford L 77-81 38%     4 - 4 -1.3 +9.4 -11.0
  Dec 10, 2016 260   @ Louisiana Monroe L 83-88 OT 60%     4 - 5 -8.2 +12.2 -20.5
  Dec 12, 2016 43   @ Maryland L 66-92 9%     4 - 6 -12.1 +3.4 -17.1
  Dec 14, 2016 336   @ Howard W 72-59 85%     5 - 6 +1.2 +11.8 -7.8
  Dec 18, 2016 238   @ South Carolina Upstate W 67-66 56%     6 - 6 -1.2 +2.4 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2016 124   @ Chattanooga L 57-73 30%     6 - 7 -11.3 -9.3 -2.8
  Dec 29, 2016 211   @ Tennessee Martin W 90-72 50%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +17.5 +18.2 +0.0
  Dec 31, 2016 225   @ Eastern Illinois W 57-56 54%     8 - 7 2 - 0 -0.5 -10.2 +9.7
  Jan 05, 2017 202   Murray St. L 63-76 66%     8 - 8 2 - 1 -17.8 -2.7 -17.6
  Jan 07, 2017 288   Austin Peay W 71-68 82%     9 - 8 3 - 1 -7.5 -5.2 -2.1
  Jan 14, 2017 259   @ Tennessee Tech W 74-59 60%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +11.9 +5.8 +7.1
  Jan 19, 2017 97   @ Belmont L 60-77 23%     10 - 9 4 - 2 -9.8 -6.7 -4.3
  Jan 21, 2017 183   @ Tennessee St. W 86-79 41%     11 - 9 5 - 2 +8.7 +23.2 -14.0
  Jan 26, 2017 273   Eastern Kentucky L 52-57 80%     11 - 10 5 - 3 -14.3 -23.7 +9.3
  Jan 28, 2017 203   Morehead St. L 69-72 66%     11 - 11 5 - 4 -7.9 -2.0 -6.2
  Feb 01, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-62 73%     12 - 11 6 - 4 +5.1 +5.1 +1.4
  Feb 04, 2017 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 72-61 75%     13 - 11 7 - 4 +3.3 -1.9 +5.4
  Feb 09, 2017 97   Belmont L 53-66 40%     13 - 12 7 - 5 -10.9 -11.7 -1.2
  Feb 11, 2017 183   Tennessee St. W 63-57 61%     14 - 12 8 - 5 +2.6 +2.5 +1.2
  Feb 18, 2017 259   Tennessee Tech L 78-79 OT 76%     14 - 13 8 - 6 -9.1 +0.1 -9.2
  Feb 23, 2017 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 65-68 64%     14 - 14 8 - 7 -7.2 -1.6 -6.0
  Feb 25, 2017 203   @ Morehead St. W 70-61 47%     15 - 14 9 - 7 +9.1 +5.9 +4.6
  Mar 02, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-51 64%     16 - 14 +18.6 +11.8 +11.2
  Mar 03, 2017 97   Belmont W 65-59 31%     17 - 14 +10.6 +6.1 +5.7
  Mar 04, 2017 211   Tennessee Martin W 66-55 60%     18 - 14 +7.9 +2.8 +7.4
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 0.0 12.2 87.8
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 12.2 87.8